Wednesday, April 18, 2012

Obama's Catholic Wedge Strategy may have backfired.

At NRO, Ramesh Ponnuru looks at the latest poll and observes:


3) Obama could be starting to have a Catholic problem. Over the last month he has gone from a 9-point lead to a 5-point deficit among Catholic voters, which is larger than his overall movement in the polls.


And the trade-off for alienating Catholics may not be worth it:


2) Readers of my gender-gap column will not be surprised to learn that while women are more likely than men to support Obama, both sexes are moving against him in unison. “Obama has lost ground among both men and women at about the same rate over the past month.” (The poll still has him four points up, though.) The size of the gender gap “remains comparable to those in previous surveys during the current campaign, as well as past election cycles.”
Here's the poll, and it is of registered voters.

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