Tuesday, May 15, 2012

A majority of Americans oppose same-sex marriage ...

... according to the New York Times.

This confirms the point I made yesterday; people in favor of civil unions do not favor gay marriage, they oppose it.

James Taranto writes about an unusually less biased NYT poll:

The Times's headline finding was that an overwhelming majority of respondents, 67%, think the president backed same-sex marriage last week "mostly for political reasons," while only 24% think he did it "mostly because he thinks it is right." This column agrees with the 24% more than the 67%, but in any case Obama has managed a neat trick: He has managed to look like a cynical opportunist while taking an unpopular position.

One reason to think this Times poll may be more unbiased than usual is its findings on the substantive question of same-sex marriage:

About 4 in 10, or 38 percent, of Americans support same-sex marriage, while 24 percent favor civil unions short of formal marriage. Thirty-three percent oppose any form of legal recognition. When civil unions are eliminated as an option, opposition to same-sex marriage rises to 51 percent, compared with 42 percent support.

That makes the Times/CBS poll an outlier among polls, but puts it in line with the results of actual voting. Every state where same-sex marriage has been on the ballot, it has lost--usually by considerably larger margins, but mostly in socially conservative states. Forty percent support and majority opposition seems in the right ball park.

3 comments:

marian said...

Very unusual and encouraging.

Xrlq said...

I dunno, I'd say confusing gay marriage with civil unions is also in line with actual voting. Most marriage amendments ban both, but manage to capture the votes off most people who tell posters they favor civil unions. NC is only the most recent example; AZ is the only counter example that comes to mind.

Peter Sean said...

Perhaps the people who tell pollsters that they support civil unions really don't support civil unions.

Actual voting results do not reflect what people are telling pollsters. Given the way that traditional marriage supporters are villified, this is not surprising.

 
Who links to me?