Are people lying to pollsters because they know what the "right" answer is?
Also, the North Carolina vote indicates why Obama is dithering between his constituencies.
According to Maggie Gallagher:
Even Public Policy Polling (a Democratic firm), which showed marriage amendment passing by 16 points right before the election, were shocked by the massive victory for the North Carolina marriage amendment, admitting via tweet: “Hate to say it, but I don’t believe polls showing support for gay marriage nationally. Any times there is a vote it doesn’t back it up.”
Actual margin of victory: 22 points, in a swing state which backed Obama in 2008.
This is from Public Policy Polling from May 1, 2012:
PPP's newest poll on the North Carolina marriage amendment shows little movement from a week ago. 55% plan to vote yes next week, while 41% are opposed.
And from McClatchy:
A final poll of likely North Carolina voters conducted over the weekend continues to give a constitutional amendment banning gay marriage and civil unions an easy margin of victory in Tuesday’s election while the Democratic contest for governor is tightening.
The referendum holds a 16-point advantage, 55 percent in favor and 39 percent against, according to the Public Policy Polling survey, a left-leaning Raleigh-based firm. The numbers shifted little in the final week as big-names on either side of the debate – Rev. Billy Graham for and former President Bill Clinton against – made final pleas to persuade voters.
The actual result was that 61% of the voters voted for the amendment, which refused to recognize both homosexual marriage and civil unions:
North Carolina voters Tuesday overwhelmingly approved a proposed amendment to the state’s constitution which limits marriage to traditional one man-one woman marriages.
With all of the state's 100 counties reporting, the amendment won in a landslide, with 61 percent of the vote.
Actually, the McClatchy entry suggests that all of the "undecideds" broke in favor of the amendment, which suggests that they weren't really undecided and chose to claim to be undecided for some reason.
Perhaps to avoid being called an ignorant redneck bigot?
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1 comment:
Let's face facts, baby--every state polled, including blue states, has voted unanimously for traditional marriage. Both NY and CA, if not the two most liberal states in the Union, unanimously voted against legalizing homosexual marriage. And in both states, the law was forced fed to the citizens.
For the time being.
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