Wednesday, October 10, 2012

More Polling Weirdness - Major Polling Operation Declares Florida, Virginia and North Carolina are in the Romney column.

Here is the story:

In a surprise move, a major political polling company is pulling out of Virginia, declaring that President Obama cannot win the state.

“I think in places like North Carolina, Virginia and Florida, we’ve already painted those red, we’re not polling any of those states again,” Suffolk University polling director David Paleologos said Tuesday night on Fox News’ ”The O’Reilly Factor.”

“We’re focusing on the remaining states.”

Suffolk’s most recent Virginia poll, issued Sept. 27, showed Obama with a 46-44 lead over GOP challenger Mitt Romney, with seven percent undecided.

Paleologos, noting that Obama’s lead was within the statistical margin of error, said at the time that the president maintained “a decided popularity advantage.” Obama’s “favorable” rating was 52 percent, compared with 42 percent for Romney.

“However, with job approval and head-to-head numbers stuck at 46 percent, it will be a significant challenge for Obama to convince the remaining undecided voters to re-elect him,” Paleologos cautioned.

Obama also had maintained slight leads in Suffolk polls in Florida and North Carolina.

The Boston-based polling center has conducted surveys since 2002 in states with what it claims to be “a 96 percent record of accuracy.”


This may be true, but isn't this more akin to "reading the tea leaves" than science?

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