[via Volokh Conspiracy] William Saletan at Slate writes:
If you're an anti-war protester or politician, this theory of warfare should change the way you think and act. Your efforts to generate resistance to the war before there is any evidence of killing, much less atrocities, contribute to the political strength of the enemy regime. You encourage uncertainty about the war's outcome, increasing the likelihood that the regime's soldiers will fight and die. You make it more difficult to separate the regime from its people. You frustrate the tipping and bring on the crushing.
If you want to minimize the killing, stop resisting the war. Instead, do what you can to make the war transparent and to hold your government accountable for unnecessary deaths. Help the media and human rights organizations monitor the battlefield. Help them get reports and pictures to the people of your country and the world. Build an incentive system that will strengthen your government's will to spare lives. Its ability will do the rest.
Good advice. Actually, that has been the point of the anti-pro-Saddam folk for months. The French and American demonstrators have increased the likelihood of war, increased the likelihood of American and Iraqi deaths and decreased the possibility of a peaceful, diplomatic solution to Saddam’s non-compliance with UN mandates, to which the United States was a “third party beneficiary” since its accession to a cease-fire in 1991 was conditioned on those resolutions. History teaches repeatedly that dictators view the West as weak and divided. The Oxford Union resolution that those students should not fight for their country was cited by Hitler as support for his gambles in the Sudetenland. Is there any reason to believe that Saddam wouldn’t likewise cling to the demonstrations and France’s self-interested obstructionism as a basis for his refusal to accept the option of exile?
Which raises the question, why doesn’t Just War Theory apply to those who would create civil disturbances in the name of peace? How would they fare if it did? Cribbing the elements from Mark Byron here’s how it might look:
Is this a Just Cause? My initial reaction is affirmative. Peace is generally just. On further thought, though, I have to wonder. Peace is not summa bonum. As St. Augustine observed, even robber bands desire peace so as to plunder others. Peace is not a good without justice. I am willing to give the demonstrators a slight nod on this element, but it is nowhere as clear as they might believe.
Is there a competent authority? It’s tough to apply this one to a dissident faction. Doesn’t democracy and the current fashion of sanctifying “dissent” qua dissent serve as sufficient authority for opposition to war. Perhaps, but we’re looking at this from a moral standpoint. In a democracy, there is a moral duty to give due weight to the judgment of those who represent the majority. Since the dissent’s duty is to convince the majority to join the dissent, I don’t think that individual conscience can legitimately satisfy the element of “competent authority.” Further, the purpose of this element is to make sure that conflict is prosecuted by those in authority so that the conflict can be controlled and limited. Perhaps the focus here needs to be on whether there is some “competent authority” who can control the excesses of the war. Here, then, we would look to established authorities - religious leaders or public officials - and we find Stalinist front groups. That’s more than McCarthyite smearing. Do we expect the Stalinists to serve the function of channeling dissent into forms which respect the legitimate rights of other citizens? This element may incline negative.
Is there the right intention? Surprisingly, this one is not that clear either. If the intent is to promote peace, then the answer is yes. But what if the intent is to oppose Bush or capitalism? The canard that the enemy of my enemy is my friend is not a moral proposition. This one is unproven.
Is war the last resort? I would rephrase this as “is direct, lawless action the last resort?” In a democracy, the answer ought to be a presumptive “no.” In the present case where there is substantial representation of the interests of the demonstrators, the answer is clearly “no.”
Is there relative justice? America v. Baathist Iran. An administration that was elected by rules that were agreed upon before the election (and God bless the electoral college) v. reactionaries who refuse to accept the outcome of any process they don’t win. Opposition to a regime that commits atrocities or implicit support for that regime. The answer should be clear.
Is there proportionality? Heck, I don’t know; it's only irrelevant protest. Actually, when you consider the social effect as indicated by The Volokh Conspiracy the San Francisco demonstrators have imposed a real world liability on the people of the state of California. There is also the more intangible violence done to a system which requires that citizens trust their fellow citizens to respect the system and to accept judgments that go against them. Intemperate language and actions may not be proportional
Is there a reasonable hope of success? None whatsoever. The results, in fact, will be to the contrary. Even ultra-gauchist Eric Alterman was forced to admit that the Vietnam protests solidified support for the war.
Thus, although the demonstrators like to assume a higher moral ground - and are often conceded that territory - it is not clear that their position - when coupled with disproportionate language or behavior- meets a test for judging the morality of war and peace. Saletan’s advice, therefore, looks like a counsel of both prudence and morality.






















