Tuesday, August 23, 2016

Out - Global Warming.

In - Global Cooling.

The science is settled?

Tell that to Norwegian wheat farmers.

The warning signs have been there for some time now – persistent failures of the wheat crop in Norway for example. The North Atlantic is cooling. The cooling trend was evident at the time of an expedition to investigate this phenonemon three years ago. The rate of cooling has now steepened up since then based on the latest data collated by Professor Humlum of the University of Oslo. From that data set, this graph shows the heat loss since 2004 for the top 700 metres of the water column:
Figure 1: Monthly heat content anomaly in the uppermost 700 metres of the North Atlantic
As Figure 1 show, North Atlantic heat content peaked in 2004. The decline since the peak has been steeper than the rise. What would be the reason for 2004 being the peak year? Part of the answer may be that 2004 was the second peak of Solar Cycle 23 with a big increase in the proton flux. Another part of the answer may be that there was a big fall in the Ap Index in 2005 down to solar minimum-like levels followed, a couple of years later, by a discontinuity as the level fell through the floor of the established minimum level of activity. That is shown in this graph:
Figure 2: Ap Index 1932 – 2016
We might not care too much about the animals that live in the North Atlantic water column but the temperature of the surface is the main control on the climate of Europe. So what has that been doing?


Anonymous said...

"What you don’t know really can hurt you. Last year was the hottest on record. And the July just passed was earth’s warmest month in the modern era. Still, Gallup found that 45 percent of Republicans don’t believe the temperature. We’re not talking about doubt over whether the latest spike was human-caused — they don’t accept the numbers, from all those lying meteorologists."

Lauran said...

And who would dare argue with the reliability of a “Gallup” poll?

Anonymous said...

Lauran's best argument: "Because I say so!" Generally followed by sticking her tongue out.

Chris Malan said...

It's because melting ice in Greenland and areas far north pours fresh water into the sea, upsetting the Gulf Stream. Global Warming will cause severe cold weather in North Western Europe.

Peter Bradley said...

Chris Malan,

That AGW is a strange thing.

This year the Atlantic is cooling down because of GW.

Last year the Atlantic was heating up because of GW.

Whatever prediction GW needs to fit new facts, it comes up with.


Peter Bradley said...

It is amazing that we can keep having all these "warmest" years and months, when there has not been any statistically significant warming over the last 25 years.

Anonymous said...

All those lying scientists and meteorologists. I wonder where they have their convention each year to make up the actual temperature data they use to foster their evil conspiracy. When you find out, let me know.

Bobby said...

"Ah, but the strawberries, that's . . . that's where I had them. They laughed and made jokes, but I proved beyond a shadow of a doubt, and with geometric logic, that a duplicate key to the wardroom icebox DID exist, and I'd have produced that key if they hadn't of pulled the Caine out of action. I, I, I know now they were only trying to protect some fellow officers... "
Lieutenant Commander Philip Francis Queeg (Humphrey Bogart) – The Caine Mutiny)

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