Sunday, January 22, 2017

Panic, panic, panic....

2016 was the hottest year in forever!!!!

Panic, panic, panic...

Aside from the fact that this is based on earth data which is notoriously subject to heat island effects, and not satellite data that shows no warming, the "hottest year" is a statistical mirage:

//They should have been in the first paragraph, but at least they’re in the third paragraph: “This puts 2016 only nominally ahead of 2015 by just 0.01C—within the 0.1C margin of error—but….” There’s stuff after the “but,” but it’s just somebody’s evaluation. Even this report can’t give us a straight fact and leave it alone.

For the benefit of science reporters and other people who are unfamiliar with the scientific method, let me point out that the margin of error for these measurements is plus or minus one tenth of a degree Celsius. The temperature difference that is supposedly being measured is one one-hundredth of a degree—one tenth the size of the margin of error. To go back to sports reporting, that’s like saying that the football is on the 10-yard line—give or take a hundred yards.//


3 comments:

actuality said...

We get it.

The earth is not currently getting warmer. The ice is not receding in either the north or south polar regions. Measurable sea level is not rising around the globe. Measurable temperatures are not rising across the globe. Glaciers are not receding or completely disappearing anywhere. Its all made up. Global warming is based on a "vast left-wing conspiracy" actively supported by the Democratic Party, the entirety of the U.S. media and all of its reporters, the vast vast majority of scientists around the world, every federal department and agency and the vast vast majority of their employees, and everyone who lives on a coast line who is observing over time the water getting higher and higher.

Its like, well, I get it.

Its like the relative sizes of the crowds at the inauguration and at the following days march. Its like there were massive crowds of Muslims cheering in NJ and NY after the 9/11 attacks. Its like we knew Iraq had weapons of mass destruction and there would soon be mushroom clouds over the Potomac. Its like Russian hacking was not brought up before the election. Its like there's no such thing a subjective reality. Its like there's is nothing to gain from interacting with the "reality-based community." Its like everything we disagree with is based on alternative facts.

Its like, the question for conservatives and Republicans (they are no longer the same thing) is if you’re willing to lie about stuff both minuscule and significant, why should anyone believe you about anything?

Peter Bradley said...

You didn't read the article, did you?

Perhaps that was because you already know all the answers and reading something that disagreed with YOUR view of reality would be too disturbing?

I get it.

I see where YOU are coming from.

The rest is projection.

Anonymous said...

Peter:
I realize you found an article that supports your point of view and I did read it. There is objective truth. This article (yes, in my opinion) tries to hide that objective truth. The planet is warming. It has the potential to impact us drastically. From my own reality, I find it sad that anti-intellectualism is progressing towards becoming a hallmark of modern conservatism in the United States. Modern liberalism has different issues which are just as sad / bad.

As far as "projection," we all do that. Midwesterners (in outlook) vs. the coasts. Liberals vs. conservatives. However one wants to divide us up. We all see our worst selves in others and lambast and criticize accordingly, perhaps hypocritically. An honest person tries to minimize "projection" and see their own worst qualities in themselves instead of in others and knows they will, to some extent, always be projecting themselves on to others.

By the way, if reading things that disagreed with my own views were disturbing, then I wouldn't come to your site. I am so far away in my thinking from modern conservatism (as represented by our new President and much of what you post) and so far away from modern progressivism (as represented by the sudden discovery that young men who think they're women are expected to bath with my daughter), that I feel compelled to seek out opportunities to understand the thinking of both.

Such is life. I probably should apologize as some of my posts here have been rather snarky. So, I do, apologize for that. Do you have any desire to understand the thinking of those who disagree with you, perhaps fundamentally so. I do. I often find the thinking of others, especially those with whom I share little in common with, absolutely fascinating.

 
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